What are our sharps betting on these days?By the time you read this, any individual games we talk about will be long over. Instead, we will discuss teams and perhaps in the future pitchers that are attracting sharp attention, starting with a trio of bad teams.
Texas Rangers
When a team struggles, the question on everyone’s mind is: Are they really that bad? Most of the time, the squares say yes and the sharps say no, or at least they’re not so fast to judge.
Teams are never as good as they look when they’re winning and they’re never as bad as they look when they’re losing. That’s the conventional wisdom, and the skeptics turn out to be right the majority of the time. This is especially true in baseball with all its time for random fluctuations and even the largest favorites being about three to one.
The Rangers are looking bad, and it’s not that anyone thinks they’re good. The sharps do however feel strongly that they are not as bad as they appear, and bet on them consistently through several re-evaluations.
Kansas City Royals
The baseball world is used to the Royals being awful, with talk of how big a disgrace it would be if they pass the White Sox for fourth place. The Royals may still be in the basement, but they’re far from the hopeless disaster from a year ago.
This team has been and is being rebuilt from top to bottom and is improving steadily as its players gain experience. Kansas City also seems to enjoy a strong home field advantage.
St. Louis Cardinals
It seems like everyone finally woke up and realized these aren’t the cards they’re looking for. The All-Star break seems to have been the last straw, and now the Cardinals have lost whatever luster is left. This time, there is no resistance, there is only freefall.
The sharps aren’t lining up against them, but no one is stepping in to defend them either, and that’s what you would expect from this kind of value shift. If things don’t improve for them, they could get a lot worse.
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