Category Archives: sports betting
After getting burned twice in two days by the Arizona D-backs Jim has climbed into the winners circle in each of the last three days.
Tight wins with the Houston Astros and Pittsburgh Pirates was back up with an easy run total play on Thursday when the Red Sox and the Devil Rays knocked up 15 runs in the first three innings to sail over the run total.
RELATED LINKS :
You can track the progress of Jim Feists FREE baseball picks on the WantaWinner.com site …
or read the actual picks on Gooners ML Baseball picks page.
by JIM FEIST
The first half of the 2007 baseball season is in the books. There were surprising winners, such as the Brewers, Diamondbacks and Mariners, and surprisingly poor performances (Yankees, White Sox, Cardinals). Here’s a look at what some of the best teams did and their prospects for the second half.
Mets: Get healthy! The Mets stumbled badly in June on a 3-14 run, yet remained in first place in the NL East. The offense went south with outfielders Moises Alou and Shawn Green on the DL, and age is still a concern with this pitching staff. Tom Glavine is 40 and Orlando Hernandez is 41.
Despite this, the pitching is still second in the NL while the offense is one of the best in runs, batting average, in addition to being tops in steals. Help is on the way with Pedro Martinez expected back sometime in September, just in time for a playoff push! They need to keep the veterans healthy and find Carlos Delgado’s bat.
Tigers: Last year’s AL Champs won with dominant pitching and an up-and-down offense. They’ve flip-flopped a bit this season. The addition of Gary Sheffield has turned the erratic offense into a dominant force, leading the AL in runs, average, and slugging. Magglio Ordonez has benefited, as well, having a monster season. Detroit started 23-7 over the total at home with all that offense!
The pitching slipped in the first half because of injuries to the bullpen, a tired arm for Nate Robertson and the absence of veteran Kenny Rogers. Rogers returned two weeks ago after missing most of the first three months recovering from a blood clot. His return: A 5-0 win over Atlanta as a +160 dog! Robertson is also back and they hope to get relief ace Joel Zumaya back in August. Don’t be surprised if the Tigers make some moves to shore up the bullpen before the trading deadline.
Indians: What a talented young offense! Who wouldn’t want 24-year old CF Grady Sizemore leading off? He started with 22 steals, a .396 OBP and 13 homers. SS Jhonny Peralta just turned 25 and 28-year old Victor Martinez leads an offense that averages over 6 runs per game in Jacobs Field, where Cleveland started a sizzling 26-11.
The pitching has been the big story, with C.C. Sabathia (11-2 start) battling for the Cy Young, an improved bullpen with Rafael Betancourt, Aaron Fultz and Joe Borowski, and the emergence of sinker-balling specialist Fausto Carmona has upgraded the rotation. The Indians could use one more veteran starting arm before the trade deadline to solidify the rotation. They will need it while battling the Tigers down the stretch in this tough division race.
Diamondbacks: Arizona ranks in the bottom five in the NL in runs scored, batting average and steals. Offense is not their strength. Oh, but what pitching, ranked fourth overall in the NL behind ace Brandon Webb, Micah Owings, and rejuvenated veterans Randy Johnson and Livan Hernandez. The bullpen is deep, anchored by closer Jose Valverde. All that pitching explains why the D-Backs started 23-12 under the total on the road.
Red Sox: Boston fell apart late last season and finished third in the AL East. Management was determined not to let that happen in 2007, so they shelled out the money for Japanese sensation Daisuke Matsuzaka, fellow countryman Hideki Okajima, and locked up Josh Beckett. All three pitchers have paid huge dividends. Okajima has been sensational in middle relief, bridging the gap to ace closer Jonathon Papelbon, while Beckett started 11-1, taking over the ace reigns from Curt Schilling.
They started 27-13 under the total on the road because of strong all-around pitching. This offense is still potent, leading the league in on-base percentage with their strategy of taking pitches, drawing walks and wearing down opposing pitchers. While everyone will be shopping for pitching soon, the Red Sox have enough depth and minor league arms that they don’t need to rush into making a move. Having such a huge lead in the AL East helps, too.
RELATED LINKS :
Jim’s free picks are tracked on the main Wantawinner.com site.
Jim’s paid picks can be found on his tipping site at :
Top rated UK bookmaker SportingOdds have undergone a revamp and have released a new website that really raises the bar for sports betters.
Increaeed functionality and more importantly a speedy design interface make it easy to find and place quickly.
And having tripled their previous joining bonus to £100 in free bets, UK licensed SportingOdds is proving very popular with punters.
SportingOdds is part of the huge SportingBet empire – but it is specifically targetted for UK punters – accepting a whole range of locally issued debit cards and credit cards for easy deposits and withdrawals.
Due to the recently imposed US UIGEA law – American sports bettors cannot play at SportingOdds – but all other countries are welcomed.
RELATED LINKS :
Check out the latest SportingOdds sportbook review at GoonersGuide.com – or visit SportingOdds directly.
Our two active tipsters that we are tracking right now at WantaWinner.com are in pretty good form with both of them showing prfits in the last month.
Jim Feist is on a 5-3 streak, however, Jim will be getting a bit of a ribbing after his latest tip on the Arizona Diamondbacks failed to get started getting drubbed 0-13 by the San Francisco Giants on Sunday.
That hasn’t stopped him getting straight on Arizona to win in St Louis on Monday night – so we will see if he’s going mad or not.
Elsewhere, Gooner had a very good weekend in the Australian Rules category, going 5-0 in handicap bets (even money) to make it a very profitable time here in the bullpen.
Our online bookie took a pummelling on that run.
RELATED LINKS :
>> ML Baseball picks from Jim Feist
>> Aussie Rules picks from Gooner
If you’re betting on Wimbledon have you checked out the latest offer at top UK bookie SportingOdds?
Every day throughout Wimbledon (June 25th – July 8th) they’re giving away £1,000 (or currency equivalent) in cash prizes to their top-performing Tennis customers in a promo called “Are you the betting ACE?”
Just place 5 or more Tennis bets on any the Wimbledon markets onsite at SportinOdds with a total stake of £5 (or currency equivalent) and the punter who makes the most money relative to their total stake will pick up a daily cash prize.
Check out all the details at BookieLabrat.com in their bonus section.
BASEBALL’S GO-AGAINST PITCHERS
by JIM FEIST
Sports bettors can look at baseball starters in several different ways. One would be good starting pitchers who might be worth a look to support, in the right situation with the right price. Another method is to look at overrated pitchers to go against. Some pitchers have past reputations of being very effective. This is especially true in the first half of the season when many bettors are still looking at last year’s stats.
However, this is a new season. Sometimes pitchers don’t throw the same as last year, either because they are hurting, have changed teams, are in new ball parks, or simply age is catching up to them. Other times older pitchers can begin to break down a bit, like we saw last week with Curt Schilling (15 day DL) and Randy Johnson (bad back). Here’s a look at some starters who haven’t pitched well, even if their record may suggest otherwise.
Doug Davis: The Arizona lefty had a good ERA early in the season, but he was getting hit and walking a lot of batters. That’s not a good predictor of success. Those weaknesses have caught up with him of late, as the Diamondbacks lost 5 of his 7 starts.
He matches up particularly poorly against offensive teams that are patient at the plate: In recent consecutive losses to the Red Sox and Yankees, Davis walked 10 batters in 9 innings.
Kameron Loe: Things are so bad with the Texas Rangers pitching staff that they demoted Loe to Triple-A, then called him back up the next day because of an injury to another starter. Loe fired a 5-hit shut out over 8 innings in his return. However, that was against the Pirates, one of the worst offensive teams in the NL.
Prior to that, the Rangers had lost 8 of 9 starts by Loe. Even after that gem against the Pirates, batters were still hitting .310 against Loe and his 6.56 ERA. Texas started 5-11 in his first 16 starts.
Kevin Millwood: The Rangers pitching is so bad it’s easy to find more go-against pitchers. In this case, the veteran Millwood is a “name” pitcher, but he’s fallen off the charts this season after going 16-12 a year ago.
Texas got two recent victories in games Millwood started, even though he allowed 10 hits, 5 runs in 5 innings in one and 10 hits, 4 runs in 5 innings in the other. Texas won both games 9-8. It’s nice to squeeze out wins like that, but how often can they do that with the starter pitching so poorly?
Andy Sonnanstine: Who? Tampa Bay has two quality starters in Scott Kazmir and James Shields, but they are desperately searching for No. 3, 4 and 5 starters. 24-year old undrafted righty Sonnanstine was recently thrown into the rotation to provide some innings.
Two things stand out about him: He’s not a workhorse, averaging 6 innings per start. This is bad news as the Devil Rays bullpen is awful. Also, he allowed a whopping 6 home runs in his first 3 starts, tee-ball type numbers.
Daniel Cabrera: This is a guy who always appears to be borderline: great fastball, unhittable stuff at times, but prone to implosions. That’s common with relatively young pitchers. Cabrera’s big problem is control, with 46 walks in 97 innings. That explains a 5.20 ERA.
After a decent start, when the weather was colder, the Orioles then lost 7 of Cabrera’s 11 starts. You might call him the “King of Inconsistency.” After an impressive 8-2 win over mighty Cleveland (3 hits allowed), he gave up 6 runs in 6 innings to Tampa Bay. After a 9-5 win over Seattle (8 innings), Cabrera was bombed by the Washington Nationals, giving up 7 runs in 4.2 innings, losing as a minus-175 favorite. Be cautious of inconsistent starters.
Ted Lilly: The Cubs lefty doesn’t throw hard, with a great curveball that’s seemingly perfect for the National League. However, after a great start, he has been hit hard. The Cubs went 0-4 over four recent starts, as Lilly gave up 21 hits and 16 earned runs in 20 innings. His overall numbers are still pretty good, just not lately. Are NL hitters finally catching up to him?
Jim Feist has been a highly recognisable face in the US sports information industry for 20 years.
Jim has his own cable TV show and radio spot and is also the publisher of numerous books and publications including the Jim Feist Pro and College Annuals.
I beleive that he was the inspiration for the recent “Two for the Money” feature film on Sports Picks with Matthew McConaughey and Al Pacino.
Jim offers a series of package for “paid picks” but he is also prepared to show what he does for free – and he has agreed to start tipping for FREE on the WantAWinner site to show his skills.
We will be tracking his daily picks in our database, and you can also read his thoughts over at Jim Feist Free Picks page at GoonersGuide.com.
Good luck Jim !
RELATED LINKS :
WantaWinner Picks Monitoring Site
Jim’s Free Picks Page at Gooners Guide to Gambling
Jim’s Paid Picks Page
Regular Want-a-Winner readers know that we’re always on the lookout for a good thing – no matter were it is hosted on the interent – and we’ve noticed that the Ice Hockey tipster known as ZAMBONI over at GoonersGuide.com is running hot.
Check out ZAMBONI’s NHL Hockey previews page on their site and you can see that he’s been working quietly away there for the last month – posting 3-4 previews a week with a great winning record.
He hit again on Monday night with the Vancouver Canucks and we reckon that takes his winning streak to 7-0 in the last fortnight …
.. so hats off and well done to ZAMBONI … he’s our Winner of the Week.
Well actually it wasn’t an easy bet …
But giant European bookmaker Globet reports that one punter staked just EURO 2.50 on a 14-match accumualtor and won over EURO 225,000 back !!
Call it luck – call it skill – call it what ever you want – but he’s our Want-a-Winner “Winner of the Week” with a punt like that.
See his full coupon that lists his bets on this sports betting blog.
What are players betting at Pinnacle Sports Book?
We asked Simon Noble from PinnacleSports to give us the run down on the betting trends so far …
Chicago +6.5 +103 vs. Indianapolis
It appears like our opening line of Indianapolis -6.5 is solid, as we haven’t had to move off the number just yet. In the nearly two weeks since the Conference Championships, the Super Bowl line has only moved four cents from -115 to -111.
Public opinion of the AFC being the stronger conference has been evident throughout, while the larger volume bets have come in on the Bears. While the line is standing at 6.5 (-111), it could easily move to the 7 on Sunday when we expect a flurry of bets before kickoff.
Chicago vs. Indianapolis Under 48 points -115
The Super Bowl total opened at 48.5 with two-way betting to start although the heavier volume came in on the under pushing the line down a few cents. This was followed by many small wagers on the over, mixed in with plays on the under. The line was pushed down to 48 after several large plays on the under from our sharper players. Although we’ve received three times as many plays on the over, the larger volume on the under has the line standing at -115 on the under, which could move another half point by kickoff on Sunday to 47.5.
Chicago +3.5 -102 vs. Indianapolis 1st Half
Indianapolis opened as 4-point favorites in the first half at -111. All of the early betting for the Super Bowl first half line was on Chicago, dropping the line to 3.5 before we saw any buyback on the Colts. The line has since settled at 3.5 where we are seeing more balanced action.
Chicago vs. Indianapolis 1st Half Under 24.5 -132
We opened the first half total at 24.5 with the under a -125 favorite. Early betting clearly favored the over with some mixed buyback on the under. The line has been lowered seven cents due to the game total being lowered even though we’ve received five times more plays on the first half over.