We’ve had five weeks of the NFL season now - and I’m pleased to report that both of the two serious systems are now in profit.

Lets start with our ATS system nicknamed “Abe” which ran up a 5-1 record this week with some good winners like Carolina (+3) and the Bills (+10) and also some luck in getting ST Louis (+3.5) to somehow cover as well.

He’s listed on the Wantawinner.com NFL picks page as Cheesehead - and now has a 20-14-2 record for a top ranked +15% yield.

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Also in profit is the moneyline “value bet” system known as Vincent.

Basically - he’ll take bets only where he thinks that the public is out of line with the real chances - which usually (but not always) means betting on the underdog.

Vincent went just 1-3 this week, but did land the Chicago Bears at +165 (2.65) and although he’s only 16-24 overall that’s still good enough for a $484 profit with his big prices.

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Our short priced favourites backing system Marvin only picks the most likely sides. He went 3-0 this weekend for a small profit to take his overall record to 19-10.

Although he has the best strikerate though - he’s losing around 13% - and I’ll repeat again that we do NOT expect this system to make money - as Sportsbooks do not go broke on these bets.

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Finally, Eddie (our extreme value system) could not match last weeks stunning performance when he went 3-1 and quadrupled his stake.

Eddie went 0-3 this week losing with Kansas City, the NY Jets and San Francisco as he search for extreme underdog moneyline winners.

The jury is still out as to whether Eddie can make a profit - or whether the betting market is too efficient to allow big value to sit out there.

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I’m looking forward to week #6 already !!

It was another interesting round of games this week - and as the results keep coming in the systems get tighter and tighter and we are starting to see some profits emerge.

Marvin went 5-1 this weekend with his short priced winners by picking kansas City, Pittsburgh, Baltimore, New England and Philadelphia with only San Diegos defeat in GReen Bay preventing the clean sweep. 

A +11% yield on stakes for the big man put a smiule on his face.

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Also smiling was Vincent who went 4-5 with his “Value picks” and that was enough to make $96 for the weekend (or a +10.6% yield) as he got good prices for the Chiefs, the Jags, the Cowboys and The Titans.

He’s back with another couple of choices this weekend too

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Abe (the Cheesehead) slipped into the loss column with a 2-3 record (and a push on Kansas City) against the spread - but over all he is 13-12-2 and show a very slight profit.

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Finally we have “Crazy” Eddie who ran up a 1-3 record with his dogs - the New York Giants came home at a tasty +176 (2.76) - but the other three choices were losers and it’s another week in the doghouse for him.

Four more choices this week from Eddie - including Cincinnati to beat New England … is he nuts? Or Nostradamus?

We will know on Monday night.

It was a pretty mixed effort in week one from our four NFL tipping systems with only one punter getting into the profit zone.

Marvin led the way with a 5-2 moneyline effort in week one. He runs a “most likely winners” system and doesn’t care about the line or the prices - he simply attempts to pick the most likely winners each week and sweep the board.

Last season Marvin went 63-24 (72%) on home sides and 24-15 (62%) on road sides.

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The other three tipsters all produced losing efforts in week #1.

Next best was our favourite Geen Bay Packers fan Abe the Cheesehead who started well with the Carolina Panthers early but slipped to a 1-2 record after both the Atlanta Falcons and New York Giants lost.

Abe was with us for the end of last season - and is still 9-7 overall - but needs to get back into the winners circle next week.

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Sitting 3rd after week #1 is Eddie who is running the extreme underdog system.

He also won with the Panthers (who were technically an underdog at +1) but failed to get any joy from the Giants, the Chiefs or the Dolphins and finished his debut week at 1-3.

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Finally we have Vincent who just didn’t get going at all. Things started badly with the New Orleans Saint getting humbled 41-10 by the Colts and kept getting worse.

Only the GB Packers and the Detroit Lions gave any joy as Vincent’s “value bets” slipped to a 2-8 record and big losses. We expect better things.

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Of course it is only week one, and as with all systems the opening weeks are the ones where the bettingstakes are kept low. We suggest that you continue that plan during the rest of September as we what for all the stats to adjust and the systems to get their correct rankings for all the teams.

You’ll be able to see the picks for Week #2 of NFL Football shortly.

What are our sharps betting on these days?By the time you read this, any individual games we talk about will be long over. Instead, we will discuss teams and perhaps in the future pitchers that are attracting sharp attention, starting with a trio of bad teams.

Texas Rangers
When a team struggles, the question on everyone’s mind is: Are they really that bad? Most of the time, the squares say yes and the sharps say no, or at least they’re not so fast to judge.

Teams are never as good as they look when they’re winning and they’re never as bad as they look when they’re losing. That’s the conventional wisdom, and the skeptics turn out to be right the majority of the time. This is especially true in baseball with all its time for random fluctuations and even the largest favorites being about three to one.

The Rangers are looking bad, and it’s not that anyone thinks they’re good. The sharps do however feel strongly that they are not as bad as they appear, and bet on them consistently through several re-evaluations.

Kansas City Royals
The baseball world is used to the Royals being awful, with talk of how big a disgrace it would be if they pass the White Sox for fourth place. The Royals may still be in the basement, but they’re far from the hopeless disaster from a year ago.

This team has been and is being rebuilt from top to bottom and is improving steadily as its players gain experience. Kansas City also seems to enjoy a strong home field advantage.

St. Louis Cardinals
It seems like everyone finally woke up and realized these aren’t the cards they’re looking for. The All-Star break seems to have been the last straw, and now the Cardinals have lost whatever luster is left. This time, there is no resistance, there is only freefall.

The sharps aren’t lining up against them, but no one is stepping in to defend them either, and that’s what you would expect from this kind of value shift. If things don’t improve for them, they could get a lot worse.

RELATED LINKS :
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It’s that time of the year when people start looknig at the College Football teams - and the guys over at BookieLabrat have a good article on their blog from Dave Cokin.

Dave provides some good pointers on five teams that he thinks may be well worth following on totals bets - including Kentucky, LSU, and Virginia Tech.

Read Dave’s full College Football Totals Betting post there,

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The two active Want-a-Winner tipsters both had reasons to smile this weekend with winning records to help punters to profits.

Jim Feist continues to show profits with his ML baseball picks as he went 2-1 over the Friday/Sunday period with both winners being priced over even money to show a tidy yield.

Jim is now 19-14 since we’ve been tracing hime from the start of June and is over $500 in profit. Well done !!

Remember that you can get more from Jim - including his reasonably priced PAID PICKS at his own website. (Click the banner)

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And our other tipster is Gooner from the self titled GoonersGuide.com who has been providing AFL Australian Rules picks on his website and forum using a sophisticated spreadsheet.

He provides handicap picks using a strength rating formula and has been tearing up the profit lists with a 10-1 run including a 3-1 result this week.

Gooner is now 36-19 since the start of the season and over $1500 in profit with the majority of his winnings coming of top bookmaker PinnacleSports - who seem to have he best prices.

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Well done guys - let’s hope things continue in the same vein - and that we can add a few more tipsters to the site at the start of the pro fooball and European soccer season.

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RELATED LINKS :
SportingOdds Betting Website.

After getting burned twice in two days by the Arizona D-backs Jim has climbed into the winners circle in each of the last three days.

Tight wins with the Houston Astros and Pittsburgh Pirates was back up with an easy run total play on Thursday when the Red Sox and the Devil Rays knocked up 15 runs in the first three innings to sail over the run total.

RELATED LINKS :

You can track the progress of Jim Feists FREE baseball picks on the WantaWinner.com site …

or read the actual picks on Gooners ML Baseball picks page.