It was a pretty mixed effort in week one from our four NFL tipping systems with only one punter getting into the profit zone.

Marvin just likes picking winners.Marvin led the way with a 5-2 moneyline effort in week one. He runs a “most likely winners” system and doesn’t care about the line or the prices - he simply attempts to pick the most likely winners each week and sweep the board.

Last season Marvin went 63-24 (72%) on home sides and 24-15 (62%) on road sides.

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The other three tipsters all produced losing efforts in week #1.

Abe takes bets ATSNext best was our favourite Geen Bay Packers fan Abe the Cheesehead who started well with the Carolina Panthers early but slipped to a 1-2 record after both the Atlanta Falcons and New York Giants lost.

Abe was with us for the end of last season - and is still 9-7 overall - but needs to get back into the winners circle next week.

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Eddie Larry KazowlskiSitting 3rd after week #1 is Eddie who is running the extreme underdog system.

He also won with the Panthers (who were technically an underdog at +1) but failed to get any joy from the Giants, the Chiefs or the Dolphins and finished his debut week at 1-3.

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Vicent ponders what went wrong in week #1Finally we have Vincent who just didn’t get going at all. Things started badly with the New Orleans Saint getting humbled 41-10 by the Colts and kept getting worse.

Only the GB Packers and the Detroit Lions gave any joy as Vincent’s “value bets” slipped to a 2-8 record and big losses. We expect better things.

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Of course it is only week one, and as with all systems the opening weeks are the ones where the bettingstakes are kept low. We suggest that you continue that plan during the rest of September as we what for all the stats to adjust and the systems to get their correct rankings for all the teams.

You’ll be able to see the picks for Week #2 of NFL Football shortly.

What are our sharps betting on these days?By the time you read this, any individual games we talk about will be long over. Instead, we will discuss teams and perhaps in the future pitchers that are attracting sharp attention, starting with a trio of bad teams.

Texas Rangers
When a team struggles, the question on everyone’s mind is: Are they really that bad? Most of the time, the squares say yes and the sharps say no, or at least they’re not so fast to judge.

Teams are never as good as they look when they’re winning and they’re never as bad as they look when they’re losing. That’s the conventional wisdom, and the skeptics turn out to be right the majority of the time. This is especially true in baseball with all its time for random fluctuations and even the largest favorites being about three to one.

The Rangers are looking bad, and it’s not that anyone thinks they’re good. The sharps do however feel strongly that they are not as bad as they appear, and bet on them consistently through several re-evaluations.

Kansas City Royals
The baseball world is used to the Royals being awful, with talk of how big a disgrace it would be if they pass the White Sox for fourth place. The Royals may still be in the basement, but they’re far from the hopeless disaster from a year ago.

This team has been and is being rebuilt from top to bottom and is improving steadily as its players gain experience. Kansas City also seems to enjoy a strong home field advantage.

St. Louis Cardinals
It seems like everyone finally woke up and realized these aren’t the cards they’re looking for. The All-Star break seems to have been the last straw, and now the Cardinals have lost whatever luster is left. This time, there is no resistance, there is only freefall.

The sharps aren’t lining up against them, but no one is stepping in to defend them either, and that’s what you would expect from this kind of value shift. If things don’t improve for them, they could get a lot worse.

RELATED LINKS :
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It’s that time of the year when people start looknig at the College Football teams - and the guys over at BookieLabrat have a good article on their blog from Dave Cokin.

Dave provides some good pointers on five teams that he thinks may be well worth following on totals bets - including Kentucky, LSU, and Virginia Tech.

Read Dave’s full College Football Totals Betting post there,

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The two active Want-a-Winner tipsters both had reasons to smile this weekend with winning records to help punters to profits.

Jim Feist continues to show profits with his ML baseball picks as he went 2-1 over the Friday/Sunday period with both winners being priced over even money to show a tidy yield.

Jim is now 19-14 since we’ve been tracing hime from the start of June and is over $500 in profit. Well done !!

Remember that you can get more from Jim - including his reasonably priced PAID PICKS at his own website. (Click the banner)

And our other tipster is Gooner from the self titled GoonersGuide.com who has been providing AFL Australian Rules picks on his website and forum using a sophisticated spreadsheet.

He provides handicap picks using a strength rating formula and has been tearing up the profit lists with a 10-1 run including a 3-1 result this week.

Gooner is now 36-19 since the start of the season and over $1500 in profit with the majority of his winnings coming of top bookmaker PinnacleSports - who seem to have he best prices.

Well done guys - let’s hope things continue in the same vein - and that we can add a few more tipsters to the site at the start of the pro fooball and European soccer season.

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RELATED LINKS :
SportingOdds Betting Website.

06.07.07 | 

Jim Feist back on track

After getting burned twice in two days by the Arizona D-backs Jim has climbed into the winners circle in each of the last three days.

Tight wins with the Houston Astros and Pittsburgh Pirates was back up with an easy run total play on Thursday when the Red Sox and the Devil Rays knocked up 15 runs in the first three innings to sail over the run total.

RELATED LINKS :

You can track the progress of Jim Feists FREE baseball picks on the WantaWinner.com site …

or read the actual picks on Gooners ML Baseball picks page.

by JIM FEIST

The first half of the 2007 baseball season is in the books. There were surprising winners, such as the Brewers, Diamondbacks and Mariners, and surprisingly poor performances (Yankees, White Sox, Cardinals). Here’s a look at what some of the best teams did and their prospects for the second half.

Mets: Get healthy! The Mets stumbled badly in June on a 3-14 run, yet remained in first place in the NL East. The offense went south with outfielders Moises Alou and Shawn Green on the DL, and age is still a concern with this pitching staff. Tom Glavine is 40 and Orlando Hernandez is 41.

Despite this, the pitching is still second in the NL while the offense is one of the best in runs, batting average, in addition to being tops in steals. Help is on the way with Pedro Martinez expected back sometime in September, just in time for a playoff push! They need to keep the veterans healthy and find Carlos Delgado’s bat.

Tigers: Last year’s AL Champs won with dominant pitching and an up-and-down offense. They’ve flip-flopped a bit this season. The addition of Gary Sheffield has turned the erratic offense into a dominant force, leading the AL in runs, average, and slugging. Magglio Ordonez has benefited, as well, having a monster season. Detroit started 23-7 over the total at home with all that offense!

The pitching slipped in the first half because of injuries to the bullpen, a tired arm for Nate Robertson and the absence of veteran Kenny Rogers. Rogers returned two weeks ago after missing most of the first three months recovering from a blood clot. His return: A 5-0 win over Atlanta as a +160 dog! Robertson is also back and they hope to get relief ace Joel Zumaya back in August. Don’t be surprised if the Tigers make some moves to shore up the bullpen before the trading deadline.

Indians: What a talented young offense! Who wouldn’t want 24-year old CF Grady Sizemore leading off? He started with 22 steals, a .396 OBP and 13 homers. SS Jhonny Peralta just turned 25 and 28-year old Victor Martinez leads an offense that averages over 6 runs per game in Jacobs Field, where Cleveland started a sizzling 26-11.

The pitching has been the big story, with C.C. Sabathia (11-2 start) battling for the Cy Young, an improved bullpen with Rafael Betancourt, Aaron Fultz and Joe Borowski, and the emergence of sinker-balling specialist Fausto Carmona has upgraded the rotation. The Indians could use one more veteran starting arm before the trade deadline to solidify the rotation. They will need it while battling the Tigers down the stretch in this tough division race.

Diamondbacks: Arizona ranks in the bottom five in the NL in runs scored, batting average and steals. Offense is not their strength. Oh, but what pitching, ranked fourth overall in the NL behind ace Brandon Webb, Micah Owings, and rejuvenated veterans Randy Johnson and Livan Hernandez. The bullpen is deep, anchored by closer Jose Valverde. All that pitching explains why the D-Backs started 23-12 under the total on the road.

Red Sox: Boston fell apart late last season and finished third in the AL East. Management was determined not to let that happen in 2007, so they shelled out the money for Japanese sensation Daisuke Matsuzaka, fellow countryman Hideki Okajima, and locked up Josh Beckett. All three pitchers have paid huge dividends. Okajima has been sensational in middle relief, bridging the gap to ace closer Jonathon Papelbon, while Beckett started 11-1, taking over the ace reigns from Curt Schilling.

They started 27-13 under the total on the road because of strong all-around pitching. This offense is still potent, leading the league in on-base percentage with their strategy of taking pitches, drawing walks and wearing down opposing pitchers. While everyone will be shopping for pitching soon, the Red Sox have enough depth and minor league arms that they don’t need to rush into making a move. Having such a huge lead in the AL East helps, too.

RELATED LINKS :
Jim’s free picks are tracked on the main Wantawinner.com site.

Jim’s paid picks can be found on his tipping site at :

 

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